Research Project

Capacity Expansion Planning

Multi-region capacity expansion planning for the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) and ISO New England (ISO-NE) footprints — each a cut of the Eastern Interconnection PSS/E case, reduced via subgraph-based Ward reduction, then solved for multi-year generation and transmission expansion. Choose a region below to see its studies.

Iowa State UniversityWard Network ReductionGurobi Optimization2026
Choose a studySPP — 1,010 buses ↓ISO-NE — 440 buses ↓

Pipeline Architecture

The analysis follows a six-stage pipeline, each producing intermediate files consumed by the next.

PSS/E RAW
92K buses
Subgraph + Ward
1,304 buses
Load Analysis
FERC 714
Line Capacities
DC-OPF (Julia)
CEP Optimization
Gurobi LP
Dashboard
Interactive
92,511
Original Buses
Eastern Interconnection
1,304
Reduced Buses
Subgraph + Ward
3,623
Equivalent Lines
DCOPF Validated
$298.5B
Total Cost
Reference (4% growth)

Southwest Power Pool (SPP)

Explore the SPP capacity expansion results across three demand growth scenarios — pick a study below.

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Reference (4.0% growth)

$298.5B total cost. 1,304 buses, 3,623 lines. DCOPF with Gurobi barrier. 1,843 MWh load shedding (economically optimal).

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →
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High Growth (7.0%)

High demand scenario using the updated 1,304-bus network with 7% annual load growth.

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →
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Low Growth (1.5%)

Conservative demand scenario using the updated 1,304-bus network with 1.5% annual load growth.

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →

ISO New England (ISO-NE)

The same pipeline applied to ISO-NE (PSS/E area 101): the New England network reduced to 440 buses, solved across three ISO-NE load-growth scenarios — pick a study below.

4,897
Original Buses
Area 101 (New England)
440
Reduced Buses
Subgraph + Ward
1,278
Equivalent Lines
DCOPF Validated
$76.2B
Total Cost
Reference (1.7% growth)
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Reference (1.7% load)

$76.2B total cost. 440 buses, 1,278 lines. 68.9 GW final capacity. ISO-NE 2024 CELT mid load growth. No load shedding.

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →
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High Load (3.5%)

$104.6B total cost. 117.3 GW final capacity. High-electrification demand path for the 440-bus ISO-NE network.

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →
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Low Load (0.9%)

$66.8B total cost. 56.0 GW final capacity. Conservative ISO-NE demand path with 0.9% annual load growth.

Static Dashboard →Interactive Map →

Methodology

The full Eastern Interconnection PSS/E model contains 92,511 buses — far too large for direct optimization. This project reduces the network to 1,304 buses using subgraph-based Ward reduction while preserving electrical fidelity, then solves a multi-year capacity expansion optimization using Gurobi.

Network Reduction

Starting with the 2024 ITP PSS/E RAW file (92,511 real buses), the 10-step pipeline applies star bus area fix, SPP-23 filtering, island removal, subgraph consolidation (transformers + low-Z bus ties + short lines <2mi), radial absorption, degree-based retention (≥69 kV), and DC Ward reduction to produce 1,304 buses and 3,623 equivalent lines. Gen/load conservation is exact (77,910 MW gen, 58,438 MW load); generators are distributed to retained buses by load-flow (LF) weights.

CEP Optimization

The capacity expansion model optimizes generation and transmission investment across 6 planning years (2024-2049) and 17 time blocks. Technologies include wind, solar, gas CC/CT, coal, nuclear, and hydro. DC optimal power flow enforces network constraints.

SPP-23 Areas

The model covers 23 official SPP RTO areas (MMWG v43). Areas 511 (AECC) and 540 (GMO) are excluded (no retained buses). All external areas including 327, 330, 356, 635 are treated as boundary with tie-line fixed injections.

Documentation

Detailed technical documentation covering every stage of the pipeline.

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Master Technical Documentation

Complete reference: PSS/E parsing, Ward reduction, CEP dataset, optimization, and dashboards.

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Project Presentation

Visual overview of the SPP CEP project, methodology, and key findings.

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ISO-NE Master Documentation

ISO New England reference: area-101 reduction, gen-tech sources, capacity factors, and CEP results.

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ISO-NE Presentation

Visual overview of the ISO-NE CEP study, scenarios, and key findings.

Technology Stack

Python 3.13
Reduction Pipeline
Julia 1.11
Line Capacities
Gurobi 13.0
CEP Optimization
Plotly.js
Visualization
Leaflet.js
Interactive Maps
VeraGrid
PSS/E Parsing